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Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Financial Model

ABOUT THIS DOCUMENT

Discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis uses future free cash flow projections and discounts them (most often using the weighted average cost of capital) to arrive at a present value. Present value can then be used to evaluate a potential investment. If the value arrived at through DCF analysis is higher than the current cost of the investment, the investment opportunity may be a good one. This is a basic discounted cash flow model, computing unlevered beta from comparables and computing free cash flow from the income statement and balance sheet.

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Discount Rate Calculation



Note: all cells in blue font with blue titles are assumptions that the user must fill in



Calculation of Beta from Comparables

(in $000s)



Comparable Companies Levered Beta Equity Market Capitalization Total Debt Tax Rate Unlevered Beta

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606

xxx 1 1 1 35% 0.606



High Unlevered Beta 0.606

Mean Unlevered Beta 0.606

Median Unlevered Beta 0.606

Low Unlevered Beta 0.606



Calculation of the Cost of Equity



Market Risk Premium (Rm) 6%

Risk-Free Rate (Rf) 5%

Target's Estimated Unlevered Beta (βu) 0.606

CAPM = Rf + ((βu) * (Rm - Rf)) 0.056



Cost of Debt of Target Company 8%



Calculation of the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)



Target Company Equity Total Debt Tax Rate

MyCo 1 1 35%



Weighted Average Cost of Capital = ((Equity/Enterprise Value)*(Cost of Capital)) + ((Debt/Enterprise Value)*(Cost of Debt)*(1-taxrate))

Enterprise Value = Equity + Total Debt 2

WACC 0.054030303

Discounted Cash Flow Calculation



Income Statement

(in $000's)

Year ending December 31,

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014





Revenue $100 $150 $200 $200 $200 $200 $200 $200





Cost of Sales 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20

Gross Profit 100 150 200 180 180 180 180 180





Operating Expenses

Research & Development 0 0 0 24 24 24 24 24

Sales & Marketing 0 0 0 26 26 26 26 26

General & Administrative 0 0 0 28 28 28 28 28

Total Operating Expenses 0 0 0 78 78 78 78 78





Operating Income 100 150 200 102 102 102 102 102





Interest Expenses

Interest Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Interest Income 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Net Interest Expense 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0





Pretax Income 100 150 200 102 102 102 102 102





Taxes 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0





Net Income 100 150 200 102 102 102 102 102





Revenue Growth 0.5 0.33333333 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Gross Margin 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0% 90.0%

R&D/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0% 12.0%

S&M/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0% 13.0%

G&A/Revenue 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0% 14.0%

Operating Margin 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0% 45.0%

Pretax Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51

Net Margin 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 51.0% 51.0% 51.0% 51.0% 51.0%









Relevant Sections from Balance Sheet



Year ending December 31,

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014





Current Assets

Cash $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Accounts Receivable 0 0 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Inventory 0 0 0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Other Current Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Total Current Assets 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0



Current Liabilities

Accounts Payable $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Short Term Debt

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